Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Byron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 45.3% vs Byron 42.6% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 80.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 61.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 72.7%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Roy
Byron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Roy
Byron
Last 6: Roy 4-2 Byron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
0
Roy
Byron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byron
0
1
Roy
Byron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
2
1
Roy
Byron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Byron
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (784)
35.3% (85)
+9.5%
Power Play
45.0% (111)
25.0% (4)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
37.5% (8)
+5.4%
On power play, Roy has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byron shoots left. Roy is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Roy shoots left. Byron is 39.2% vs left-shot opponents (74).
Home / Away
Roy
Byron
Home
45.8% (421)
39.4% (33)
Away
43.9% (488)
32.8% (64)
By Period
Roy
Byron
P1
44.9%
39.4%
P2
43.6%
41.7%
P3
46.4%
27.5%
Final 5 min
49.1%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
44.8%
Byron
54.0%▲
41.0%
35.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2014 | 3 | 11:12 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Paul Byron |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 18:53 | Defensive | Paul Byron |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Derek Roy |