Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Byron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Byron 40.6% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 88.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 80.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 79.5%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Roy
Byron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Roy
Byron
Last 7: Roy 5-2 Byron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
0
Roy
Byron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byron
0
1
Roy
Byron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
3
1
Roy
Byron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Byron
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
40.6% (399)
+5.8%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
55.0% (20)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
26.2% (84)
+20.6%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byron shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Byron is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Roy
Byron
Home
49.5% (1,982)
41.7% (235)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
36.2% (268)
By Period
Roy
Byron
P1
47.6%
31.9%
P2
46.2%
46.5%
P3
48.5%
35.3%
OT
43.1%
80.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
37.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Byron
54.0%▲
41.0%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2014 | 3 | 11:12 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Paul Byron |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 18:53 | Defensive | Paul Byron |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | Derek Roy |