Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Regin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Roy wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Regin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.0% vs Regin 43.8% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Regin leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Regin 60.0%
Defensive zone
Regin 57.9%
Neutral zone
Regin 61.2%
Result
Peter Regin favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Roy
Regin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Roy
Regin
Last 10: Roy 4-6 Regin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Regin
2
3
Roy
Regin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Regin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Regin
1
3
Roy
Regin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Regin
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (380)
42.9% (268)
+1.0%
Power Play
52.8% (106)
35.0% (40)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (38)
37.5% (8)
+17.8%
On power play, Roy has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Regin shoots left. Roy is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Roy shoots left. Regin is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Roy
Regin
Home
51.6% (283)
41.2% (182)
Away
40.4% (245)
42.5% (134)
By Period
Roy
Regin
P1
47.8%
44.4%
P2
41.1%
43.9%
P3
49.7%
36.0%
OT
41.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
42.4%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Regin
54.0%▲
48.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Peter Regin |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Peter Regin |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Peter Regin |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Peter Regin |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 1 | 17:27 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peter Regin |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 12:18 | Offensive | Peter Regin |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peter Regin |