Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Regin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Regin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Regin 44.3% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Regin leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 53.1%
Defensive zone
Regin 57.6%
Neutral zone
Regin 59.4%
Result
Peter Regin favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Roy
Regin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Roy
Regin
Last 10: Roy 5-5 Regin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Roy
Regin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Regin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Regin
1
3
Roy
Regin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Regin
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
45.8% (836)
+0.6%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
39.2% (74)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
24.7% (73)
+22.1%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Regin shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Regin is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Roy
Regin
Home
49.5% (1,982)
42.6% (533)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
45.1% (450)
By Period
Roy
Regin
P1
47.6%
46.7%
P2
46.2%
43.9%
P3
48.5%
40.8%
OT
43.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.0%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Regin
54.0%▲
48.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Peter Regin |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Peter Regin |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Peter Regin |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Peter Regin |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 1 | 17:27 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peter Regin |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 12:18 | Offensive | Peter Regin |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peter Regin |