Scouting Report
R.J. Umberger holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Umberger on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Umberger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Umberger 50.1% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Umberger 63.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 63.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.2%
Result
R.J. Umberger favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Roy
Umberger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Roy
Umberger
Last 7: Roy 3-4 Umberger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
1
2
Roy
Umberger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Roy
Umberger
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Umberger
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
50.9% (387)
-4.5%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
49.8% (251)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
46.6% (58)
+0.2%
On even strength, Umberger has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Umberger shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Umberger is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (479).
Home / Away
Roy
Umberger
Home
49.5% (1,982)
52.3% (365)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
47.6% (336)
By Period
Roy
Umberger
P1
47.6%
50.0%
P2
46.2%
49.3%
P3
48.5%
50.0%
OT
43.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2013 | OT | 02:38 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 26, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 00:16 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 14:36 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |