Scouting Report
Rod Pelley holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Pelley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.0% vs Pelley 52.1% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 65.1%
Defensive zone
Pelley 84.2%
Neutral zone
Pelley 75.6%
Result
Rod Pelley favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Roy
Pelley
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Roy
Pelley
Last 5: Roy 4-1 Pelley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
0
Roy
Pelley
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Pelley
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pelley
0
1
Roy
Pelley
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Pelley
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (380)
53.4% (208)
-9.5%
Power Play
52.8% (106)
50.0% (4)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (38)
50.5% (103)
+4.8%
On even strength, Pelley has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pelley shoots left. Roy is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Roy shoots left. Pelley is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Roy
Pelley
Home
51.6% (283)
55.1% (127)
Away
40.4% (245)
51.3% (193)
By Period
Roy
Pelley
P1
47.8%
56.0%
P2
41.1%
49.6%
P3
49.7%
53.0%
OT
41.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 17:39 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Derek Roy |