Scouting Report
Rod Pelley holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Pelley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Pelley 51.0% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 63.0%
Defensive zone
Pelley 70.2%
Neutral zone
Pelley 61.8%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Roy
Pelley
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Roy
Pelley
Last 6: Roy 5-1 Pelley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
4
0
Roy
Pelley
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Pelley
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pelley
0
1
Roy
Pelley
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Pelley
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
51.4% (440)
-5.0%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
25.0% (8)
+28.6%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
50.8% (118)
-4.0%
On power play, Roy has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pelley shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Pelley is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Roy
Pelley
Home
49.5% (1,982)
52.9% (221)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
50.1% (353)
By Period
Roy
Pelley
P1
47.6%
50.8%
P2
46.2%
49.3%
P3
48.5%
53.8%
OT
43.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2012 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 17:39 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Derek Roy |