Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.6% vs 45.4%). Look for Horak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Horak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 46.2% vs Horak 46.9% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horak 54.3%
Defensive zone
Horak 57.2%
Neutral zone
Horak 56.7%
Result
Roman Horak favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Roy
Horak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Roy
Horak
Last 8: Roy 2-6 Horak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horak
0
2
Roy
Horak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horak
1
2
Roy
Horak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horak
1
2
Roy
Horak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Horak
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (506)
44.4% (189)
+0.9%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
45.5% (11)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (73)
80.0% (5)
-43.0%
On penalty kill, Horak has a +43.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horak shoots left. Roy is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Roy shoots left. Horak is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Roy
Horak
Home
44.9% (354)
49.5% (93)
Away
46.4% (293)
42.0% (112)
By Period
Roy
Horak
P1
47.0%
41.7%
P2
47.2%
51.5%
P3
42.5%
44.6%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
45.6%
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 01:16 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 01:06 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 00:51 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 09:29 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 13:49 | Neutral | Derek Roy |