Derek Roy vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 54.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.0%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.6%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Roy
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Roy
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Roy 5-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
1
Roy
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Roy
Nugent-Hopkins
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
7
Roy
Nugent-Hopkins
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
44.9% (8,756)
+1.5%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
50.7% (839)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
37.9% (879)
+8.9%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Roy
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.5% (1,982)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Roy
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.6%
45.1%
P2
46.2%
43.9%
P3
48.5%
45.3%
OT
43.1%
43.5%
Final 5 min
47.0%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 09:21 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 29, 2014 | 3 | 11:43 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 29, 2014 | 3 | 08:54 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 29, 2014 | 3 | 08:43 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 29, 2014 | 2 | 17:42 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 29, 2014 | 2 | 17:28 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 18:58 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |