Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Koivu 51.8% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 26-16 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 82.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 58.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 73.6%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Roy
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
26
(42 meetings)
16
26
Roy
Koivu
Last 10: Roy 4-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
7
4
Roy
Koivu
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
11
Roy
Koivu
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
8
11
Roy
Koivu
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
51.9% (3,221)
-5.5%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
59.3% (437)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
48.0% (764)
-1.2%
On power play, Koivu has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Roy
Koivu
Home
49.5% (1,982)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Roy
Koivu
P1
47.6%
51.1%
P2
46.2%
52.6%
P3
48.5%
51.8%
OT
43.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
47.0%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2014 | 2 | 12:02 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 16:18 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 15:53 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 12:15 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 08:14 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 05:36 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 07:47 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 16:34 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 14:17 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 8, 2013 | 3 | 19:40 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 8, 2013 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 8, 2013 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Derek Roy |