Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 46.2% vs Gagner 44.6% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 74.7%
Defensive zone
Gagner 62.6%
Neutral zone
Gagner 67.6%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Roy
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Roy
Gagner
Last 10: Roy 3-7 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
7
Roy
Gagner
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
4
2
Roy
Gagner
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
4
Roy
Gagner
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (506)
42.1% (575)
+3.2%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
55.3% (123)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (73)
34.9% (43)
+2.1%
On even strength, Roy has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Roy is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Roy shoots left. Gagner is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Roy
Gagner
Home
44.9% (354)
45.6% (375)
Away
46.4% (293)
42.1% (366)
By Period
Roy
Gagner
P1
47.0%
40.1%
P2
47.2%
42.2%
P3
42.5%
48.2%
OT
50.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
41.4%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
45.6%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 00:18 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 06:07 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 02:33 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 00:48 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 6, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 1 | 18:09 | Offensive | Derek Roy |