Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Gagner 46.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 21-10 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 66.7%
Defensive zone
Gagner 64.8%
Neutral zone
Gagner 68.3%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Roy
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
21
(31 meetings)
10
21
Roy
Gagner
Last 10: Roy 3-7 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
4
10
Roy
Gagner
14 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Roy
Gagner
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
6
Roy
Gagner
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
45.4% (4,699)
+1.0%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
51.5% (928)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
35.0% (226)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Roy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Roy shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Roy
Gagner
Home
49.5% (1,982)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Roy
Gagner
P1
47.6%
44.6%
P2
46.2%
46.1%
P3
48.5%
47.3%
OT
43.1%
42.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 1 | 15:50 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 01:46 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 00:18 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 06:07 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 02:33 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |