Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 46.8%). Look for Gagner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.5% vs Gagner 47.1% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 52.2%
Defensive zone
Gagner 74.1%
Neutral zone
Gagner 60.1%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Roy
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Roy
Gagner
Last 6: Roy 1-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
3
Roy
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Roy
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (351)
45.9% (815)
-2.9%
Power Play
61.3% (106)
55.3% (132)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
25.0% (16)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Roy is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Roy shoots left. Gagner is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Roy
Gagner
Home
52.3% (241)
48.7% (542)
Away
41.3% (225)
44.4% (421)
By Period
Roy
Gagner
P1
51.6%
45.1%
P2
46.4%
46.6%
P3
43.1%
49.7%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2014 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 01:46 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |