Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 45.3% vs Crosby 49.9% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 71.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 75.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 69.2%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Roy
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Roy
Crosby
Last 8: Roy 1-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Roy
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Roy
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Roy
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (784)
49.4% (1,194)
-4.6%
Power Play
45.0% (111)
52.6% (350)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
43.4% (53)
-0.5%
On power play, Crosby has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Roy is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Roy shoots left. Crosby is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Roy
Crosby
Home
45.8% (421)
51.3% (776)
Away
43.9% (488)
48.6% (821)
By Period
Roy
Crosby
P1
44.9%
50.5%
P2
43.6%
51.3%
P3
46.4%
47.8%
OT
35.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
44.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 09:39 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 09:37 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 01:31 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |