Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Crosby 53.5% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 50.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 63.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 57.7%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Roy
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
13
(25 meetings)
12
13
Roy
Crosby
Last 10: Roy 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
5
6
Roy
Crosby
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
4
Roy
Crosby
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
4
3
Roy
Crosby
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
52.8% (17,990)
-6.4%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
57.4% (4,733)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
47.1% (765)
-0.3%
On even strength, Crosby has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Roy
Crosby
Home
49.5% (1,982)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Roy
Crosby
P1
47.6%
53.6%
P2
46.2%
53.9%
P3
48.5%
53.3%
OT
43.1%
49.6%
Final 5 min
47.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 09:39 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 09:37 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 01:31 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 10:37 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 18:17 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 17:37 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 17:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 03:30 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Derek Roy |