Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ruutu on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ruutu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Ruutu 41.0% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ruutu 58.5%
Defensive zone
Ruutu 57.8%
Neutral zone
Ruutu 57.3%
Result
Tuomo Ruutu favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Roy
Ruutu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Roy
Ruutu
Last 5: Roy 2-3 Ruutu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ruutu
1
3
Roy
Ruutu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Ruutu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Ruutu
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
40.3% (688)
+6.1%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
37.8% (119)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
36.4% (11)
+10.4%
On power play, Roy has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ruutu shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Ruutu is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (533).
Home / Away
Roy
Ruutu
Home
49.5% (1,982)
42.2% (438)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
37.4% (388)
By Period
Roy
Ruutu
P1
47.6%
37.9%
P2
46.2%
40.7%
P3
48.5%
41.3%
OT
43.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Ruutu
38.0%▲
36.5%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2011 | 1 | 03:11 | Offensive | Tuomo Ruutu |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Tuomo Ruutu |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 1 | 04:10 | Offensive | Tuomo Ruutu |