Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (72% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 50.5% vs Bozak 52.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 30-15 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 73.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 59.2%
Neutral zone
Bozak 51.1%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Roy
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
15
(45 meetings)
30
15
Roy
Bozak
Last 10: Roy 6-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
10
5
Roy
Bozak
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
7
5
Roy
Bozak
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
13
5
Roy
Bozak
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,010)
51.7% (913)
-1.4%
Power Play
53.3% (169)
55.9% (211)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
54.9% (51)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Roy is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Roy shoots left. Bozak is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Roy
Bozak
Home
52.4% (683)
52.8% (615)
Away
48.6% (646)
52.5% (583)
By Period
Roy
Bozak
P1
48.3%
52.5%
P2
49.5%
51.1%
P3
53.9%
55.2%
OT
48.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
50.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 3 | 06:15 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 3 | 06:09 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 15:22 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 11:53 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 04:26 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 16:04 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 07:43 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 00:25 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 19:56 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Derek Roy |