Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Bozak 53.4% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 39-33 in 72 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 61.1%
Defensive zone
Bozak 74.6%
Neutral zone
Bozak 70.1%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Roy
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
33
(72 meetings)
39
33
Roy
Bozak
Last 10: Roy 2-8 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
15
9
Roy
Bozak
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
8
10
Roy
Bozak
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
16
14
Roy
Bozak
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
53.7% (9,596)
-7.3%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
55.2% (1,990)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
48.0% (1,094)
-1.2%
On even strength, Bozak has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Roy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Roy shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Roy
Bozak
Home
49.5% (1,982)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Roy
Bozak
P1
47.6%
53.2%
P2
46.2%
52.8%
P3
48.5%
54.5%
OT
43.1%
52.9%
Final 5 min
47.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2015 | 3 | 09:12 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 3 | 07:13 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 2 | 06:36 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 2 | 06:31 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 1 | 04:40 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 10:24 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 09:58 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 13:26 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 09:23 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 07:39 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 1 | 15:46 | Offensive | Derek Roy |