Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Leino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.5% vs Leino 45.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 74.7%
Defensive zone
Leino 71.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.3%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Roy
Leino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Roy
Leino
Last 8: Roy 4-4 Leino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
1
Roy
Leino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Leino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Leino
1
2
Roy
Leino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Leino
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (351)
43.7% (254)
-0.7%
Power Play
61.3% (106)
43.8% (32)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
0.0% (1)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Leino shoots left. Roy is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (306).
Roy shoots left. Leino is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Roy
Leino
Home
52.3% (241)
45.0% (160)
Away
41.3% (225)
41.7% (127)
By Period
Roy
Leino
P1
51.6%
43.6%
P2
46.4%
42.3%
P3
43.1%
43.7%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.0%
Leino
38.0%▼
41.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 08:53 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Ville Leino |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Ville Leino |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 12:07 | Neutral | Ville Leino |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 08:55 | Offensive | Ville Leino |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 05:35 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 03:03 | Offensive | Derek Roy |