Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Leino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Leino 46.1% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Leino 52.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 51.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.8%
Result
Ville Leino favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Roy
Leino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Roy
Leino
Last 8: Roy 4-4 Leino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
1
Roy
Leino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Leino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Leino
1
2
Roy
Leino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Leino
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
46.1% (596)
+0.3%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
42.1% (57)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
33.3% (6)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Leino shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Leino is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Roy
Leino
Home
49.5% (1,982)
46.1% (334)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
45.0% (329)
By Period
Roy
Leino
P1
47.6%
45.9%
P2
46.2%
44.8%
P3
48.5%
45.6%
OT
43.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Leino
38.0%▼
41.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 08:53 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Ville Leino |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Ville Leino |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 12:07 | Neutral | Ville Leino |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 08:55 | Offensive | Ville Leino |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 05:35 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 03:03 | Offensive | Derek Roy |