Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Boeser on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boeser wins 36.4% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boeser 46.8% vs Ryan 57.2% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boeser 58.6%
Defensive zone
Ryan 90.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 72.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Boeser
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Boeser
Ryan
Last 5: Boeser 3-2 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boeser
2
1
Boeser
Ryan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Boeser
Ryan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boeser
1
0
Boeser
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boeser
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (83)
59.1% (594)
-15.7%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
49.1% (55)
-6.2%
On even strength, Ryan has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Boeser is 36.4% vs right-shot opponents (22).
Boeser shoots right. Ryan is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Boeser
Ryan
Home
44.6% (56)
57.0% (398)
Away
41.2% (34)
59.5% (358)
By Period
Boeser
Ryan
P1
36.7%
56.2%
P2
41.9%
56.9%
P3
47.8%
61.1%
Final 5 min
52.6%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boeser
46.0%▲
39.0%
43.3%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 17:40 | Neutral | Brock Boeser |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Brock Boeser |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 11:52 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 04:06 | Offensive | Brock Boeser |