Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rowney on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 48.7% vs Ryan 54.6% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 86.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 59.9%
Neutral zone
Ryan 68.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Rowney
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Rowney
Ryan
Last 8: Rowney 5-3 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
1
0
Rowney
Ryan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rowney
Ryan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rowney
3
2
Rowney
Ryan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (177)
54.9% (576)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
42.1% (19)
+5.5%
On even strength, Ryan has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Rowney is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Rowney shoots right. Ryan is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Rowney
Ryan
Home
46.2% (104)
57.7% (355)
Away
50.0% (94)
52.8% (352)
By Period
Rowney
Ryan
P1
46.4%
57.9%
P2
46.5%
53.2%
P3
50.7%
54.8%
Final 5 min
44.4%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
48.0%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 09:38 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 05:33 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 12:43 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 05:41 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 05:35 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 02:15 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |