Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gambrell on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Ryan wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Gambrell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 52.0% vs Gambrell 46.8% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gambrell 58.9%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 58.8%
Neutral zone
Gambrell 51.3%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Ryan
Gambrell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Ryan
Gambrell
Last 9: Ryan 4-5 Gambrell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
2
5
Ryan
Gambrell
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Gambrell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Gambrell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Gambrell
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (603)
46.2% (303)
+7.9%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
31.3% (16)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (85)
49.0% (51)
-3.1%
On power play, Ryan has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gambrell shoots right. Ryan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Ryan shoots right. Gambrell is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Home / Away
Ryan
Gambrell
Home
52.5% (341)
42.6% (188)
Away
52.2% (391)
49.5% (182)
By Period
Ryan
Gambrell
P1
56.0%
46.1%
P2
48.1%
53.5%
P3
52.8%
37.5%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.3%
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 13:18 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 02:22 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 3 | 11:38 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 1 | 08:35 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |