Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gambrell on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Ryan wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gambrell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Gambrell 46.3% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Gambrell leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 67.8%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 60.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 57.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Ryan
Gambrell
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Ryan
Gambrell
Last 10: Ryan 5-5 Gambrell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
2
5
Ryan
Gambrell
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Gambrell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Gambrell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Gambrell
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
47.4% (1,627)
+9.2%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
36.4% (33)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
40.4% (314)
+7.4%
On power play, Ryan has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gambrell shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Ryan shoots right. Gambrell is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Ryan
Gambrell
Home
56.2% (2,559)
44.3% (994)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
48.1% (980)
By Period
Ryan
Gambrell
P1
55.1%
44.3%
P2
54.7%
49.8%
P3
56.0%
44.5%
OT
58.3%
12.5%
Final 5 min
52.5%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 13:18 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 02:22 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 3 | 11:38 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 1 | 08:35 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |