Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.3% vs 55.1%). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Belanger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Belanger 54.9% (+0.2%)
Offensive zone
Ryan 64.4%
Defensive zone
Belanger 57.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 53.3%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Ryan
Belanger
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Belanger
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
57.1% (2,043)
-0.5%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
57.8% (166)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
44.9% (459)
+2.9%
On power play, Belanger has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Belanger shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Belanger is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Ryan
Belanger
Home
56.2% (2,559)
56.3% (1,350)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
53.8% (1,332)
By Period
Ryan
Belanger
P1
55.1%
53.5%
P2
54.7%
55.4%
P3
56.0%
56.2%
OT
58.3%
53.1%
Final 5 min
52.5%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.1%