Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Staal 50.6% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 17-16 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 51.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 78.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 72.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Ryan
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
16
(33 meetings)
17
16
Ryan
Staal
Last 10: Ryan 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
7
Ryan
Staal
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
8
6
Ryan
Staal
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
3
Ryan
Staal
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
50.5% (10,347)
+6.1%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
53.5% (2,023)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
44.2% (781)
+3.6%
On even strength, Ryan has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Home / Away
Ryan
Staal
Home
56.2% (2,559)
52.6% (6,558)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
48.6% (6,664)
By Period
Ryan
Staal
P1
55.1%
50.0%
P2
54.7%
51.1%
P3
56.0%
50.4%
OT
58.3%
55.2%
Final 5 min
52.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:19 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 04:41 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 01:45 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 1 | 13:52 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 3 | 14:32 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 2 | 15:13 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 3 | 10:08 | Defensive | Eric Staal |