Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Staal 46.6% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 53.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 69.0%
Neutral zone
Ryan 56.7%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Ryan
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Ryan
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
49.6% (565)
+1.3%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
35.0% (20)
+40.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
35.4% (158)
+9.9%
On power play, Ryan has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Ryan shoots right. Staal is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Ryan
Staal
Home
53.7% (214)
46.1% (380)
Away
46.4% (220)
46.3% (363)
By Period
Ryan
Staal
P1
45.0%
45.7%
P2
50.0%
46.2%
P3
54.6%
46.5%
Final 5 min
45.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:19 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |