Derek Ryan vs Frederik Gauthier
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gauthier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Gauthier 51.9% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 87.2%
Defensive zone
Gauthier 52.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 81.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Ryan
Gauthier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Ryan
Gauthier
Last 8: Ryan 5-3 Gauthier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Gauthier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Gauthier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Ryan
Gauthier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Gauthier
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
53.4% (1,034)
+3.2%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
52.4% (21)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
46.8% (263)
+1.0%
On even strength, Ryan has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gauthier shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Gauthier is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Ryan
Gauthier
Home
56.2% (2,559)
53.3% (722)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
50.5% (596)
By Period
Ryan
Gauthier
P1
55.1%
50.9%
P2
54.7%
54.5%
P3
56.0%
50.3%
OT
58.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Gauthier
40.0%▼
45.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 13:40 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 3 | 03:15 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |
| Oct 29, 2018 | 2 | 15:32 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 29, 2018 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |