Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gauthier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Gauthier 47.4% (+11.9%)
Offensive zone
Gauthier 54.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 70.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 55.2%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Ryan
Gauthier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Gauthier
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
48.2% (56)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
31.6% (19)
+11.6%
On even strength, Ryan has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gauthier shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Gauthier is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Ryan
Gauthier
Home
56.7% (254)
45.7% (46)
Away
55.0% (258)
41.4% (29)
By Period
Ryan
Gauthier
P1
56.9%
51.9%
P2
51.7%
33.3%
P3
59.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.6%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Gauthier
40.0%▼
45.0%
44.0%