Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Eichel 45.9% (+14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 57.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 63.0%
Neutral zone
Eichel 50.3%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Ryan
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Ryan
Eichel
Last 5: Ryan 2-3 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
3
Ryan
Eichel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Eichel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
45.9% (1,044)
+15.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
55.9% (59)
+44.1%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
39.7% (151)
+12.0%
On power play, Ryan has a +44.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Ryan is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Ryan shoots right. Eichel is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Ryan
Eichel
Home
64.2% (137)
46.5% (606)
Away
55.8% (113)
44.8% (648)
By Period
Ryan
Eichel
P1
58.9%
47.2%
P2
62.8%
46.9%
P3
59.3%
42.7%
Final 5 min
51.6%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |