Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Ryan wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Josefson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 53.5% vs Josefson 48.6% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 64.6%
Defensive zone
Josefson 54.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 59.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Ryan
Josefson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Ryan
Josefson
Last 7: Ryan 4-3 Josefson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
0
1
Ryan
Josefson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Josefson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
2
Ryan
Josefson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Josefson
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (54)
47.2% (513)
+13.9%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
57.0% (93)
-17.0%
On power play, Josefson has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Josefson shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Ryan shoots right. Josefson is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Home / Away
Ryan
Josefson
Home
61.5% (26)
51.6% (351)
Away
57.6% (33)
44.9% (316)
By Period
Ryan
Josefson
P1
70.8%
46.3%
P2
50.0%
51.2%
P3
52.9%
48.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
59.3%
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 2 | 15:58 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 02:52 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 02:45 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 02:34 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |