Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Josefson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Josefson 48.8% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Josefson leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 55.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 55.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 56.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Ryan
Josefson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Ryan
Josefson
Last 10: Ryan 5-5 Josefson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
0
2
Ryan
Josefson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Josefson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
5
3
Ryan
Josefson
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Josefson
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
48.8% (2,339)
+7.8%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
51.9% (185)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
45.8% (312)
+2.0%
On even strength, Ryan has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Josefson shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Josefson is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (958).
Home / Away
Ryan
Josefson
Home
56.2% (2,559)
50.5% (1,517)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
46.8% (1,329)
By Period
Ryan
Josefson
P1
55.1%
46.4%
P2
54.7%
50.1%
P3
56.0%
49.8%
OT
58.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 04:35 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 01:16 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 2 | 15:58 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 02:52 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 02:45 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 02:34 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |