Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Josefson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.9% vs Josefson 45.5% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 80.0%
Defensive zone
Josefson 76.0%
Neutral zone
Ryan 51.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Ryan
Josefson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Ryan
Josefson
Last 5: Ryan 2-3 Josefson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
0
1
Ryan
Josefson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
0
1
Ryan
Josefson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Josefson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Josefson
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (816)
44.9% (272)
+11.6%
Power Play
55.2% (105)
75.0% (4)
-19.8%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (19)
34.9% (43)
+28.3%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Josefson shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Ryan shoots right. Josefson is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Ryan
Josefson
Home
56.7% (466)
43.5% (168)
Away
56.3% (474)
44.7% (152)
By Period
Ryan
Josefson
P1
55.4%
42.1%
P2
58.1%
46.0%
P3
55.8%
44.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 04:35 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 01:16 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |