Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Harkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Harkins 52.4% (+7.0%)
Offensive zone
Ryan 55.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 55.3%
Neutral zone
Harkins 51.1%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Ryan
Harkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Harkins
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
50.7% (152)
+10.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
100.0% (1)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
59.1% (66)
-7.4%
On even strength, Ryan has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Harkins shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Ryan shoots right. Harkins is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Ryan
Harkins
Home
64.2% (137)
54.8% (115)
Away
55.8% (113)
51.9% (104)
By Period
Ryan
Harkins
P1
58.9%
51.4%
P2
62.8%
53.3%
P3
59.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
53.4%