Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Dickinson 47.7% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 85.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 64.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 84.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Ryan
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Ryan
Dickinson
Last 10: Ryan 7-3 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Ryan
Dickinson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
1
Ryan
Dickinson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Dickinson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
49.0% (4,363)
+7.6%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
51.1% (141)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
40.5% (884)
+7.3%
On even strength, Ryan has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Dickinson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,940).
Home / Away
Ryan
Dickinson
Home
56.2% (2,559)
49.3% (2,779)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
45.9% (2,609)
By Period
Ryan
Dickinson
P1
55.1%
46.9%
P2
54.7%
48.1%
P3
56.0%
47.8%
OT
58.3%
52.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:11 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 17:29 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 13:41 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 08:59 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 02:03 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 08:45 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |