Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Dickinson 50.0% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dickinson 57.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 51.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 50.6%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Ryan
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Ryan
Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
2
Ryan
Dickinson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Dickinson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
51.2% (912)
+9.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
63.8% (58)
+36.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
42.9% (266)
+3.3%
On power play, Ryan has a +36.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Ryan shoots right. Dickinson is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (429).
Home / Away
Ryan
Dickinson
Home
56.7% (201)
52.9% (664)
Away
54.8% (208)
46.7% (572)
By Period
Ryan
Dickinson
P1
56.7%
49.0%
P2
56.8%
48.3%
P3
53.7%
52.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 17:29 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |