Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 52.0% vs Thornton 49.5% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 53.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 84.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 71.3%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Ryan
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Ryan
Thornton
Last 5: Ryan 4-1 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Ryan
Thornton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Thornton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (603)
48.9% (583)
+5.2%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
52.5% (59)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (85)
58.3% (12)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Ryan is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (511).
Ryan shoots right. Thornton is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Ryan
Thornton
Home
52.5% (341)
51.6% (341)
Away
52.2% (391)
47.0% (313)
By Period
Ryan
Thornton
P1
56.0%
53.9%
P2
48.1%
46.9%
P3
52.8%
47.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.3%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 14:46 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 01:35 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 01:26 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 1 | 07:05 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |