Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Thornton 46.2% (+11.9%)
Offensive zone
Thornton 69.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 77.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 60.5%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Ryan
Thornton
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
43.5% (161)
+16.7%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
50.0% (14)
-21.4%
On power play, Thornton has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Thornton is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Ryan
Thornton
Home
56.7% (254)
41.5% (106)
Away
55.0% (258)
47.8% (69)
By Period
Ryan
Thornton
P1
56.9%
50.8%
P2
51.7%
41.0%
P3
59.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%