Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.9% vs Ek 43.9% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 59.2%
Defensive zone
Ek 58.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 64.3%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Ryan
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Ryan
Ek
Last 5: Ryan 2-3 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Ek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
2
Ryan
Ek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (816)
43.5% (439)
+13.0%
Power Play
55.2% (105)
60.0% (5)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (19)
25.0% (28)
+38.2%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +38.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Ryan shoots right. Ek is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Ryan
Ek
Home
56.7% (466)
46.5% (245)
Away
56.3% (474)
38.3% (227)
By Period
Ryan
Ek
P1
55.4%
43.3%
P2
58.1%
41.9%
P3
55.8%
42.8%
Final 5 min
55.6%
35.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 2 | 07:22 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 01:38 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 01:52 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |