Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Ek 47.4% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 63.7%
Defensive zone
Ek 50.1%
Neutral zone
Ek 62.7%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Ryan
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Ryan
Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
3
Ryan
Ek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
47.6% (609)
+13.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
53.3% (152)
+46.7%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
34.9% (106)
+16.8%
On power play, Ryan has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Ryan shoots right. Ek is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Ryan
Ek
Home
64.2% (137)
49.2% (331)
Away
55.8% (113)
45.7% (536)
By Period
Ryan
Ek
P1
58.9%
38.7%
P2
62.8%
52.9%
P3
59.3%
48.8%
Final 5 min
51.6%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 05:50 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |