Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Larsson 46.9% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 76.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 91.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 92.1%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Ryan
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Ryan
Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Larsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Larsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
46.7% (345)
+13.5%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
61.1% (18)
-32.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
39.0% (59)
+4.2%
On power play, Larsson has a +32.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Larsson is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Home / Away
Ryan
Larsson
Home
56.7% (254)
52.1% (167)
Away
55.0% (258)
42.4% (255)
By Period
Ryan
Larsson
P1
56.9%
50.0%
P2
51.7%
46.7%
P3
59.2%
42.6%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 10:58 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |