Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 59.9% vs right-shot opponents — Weal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.2% vs Weal 54.8% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 53.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 78.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 66.8%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Ryan
Weal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Ryan
Weal
Last 10: Ryan 7-3 Weal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Weal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
2
Ryan
Weal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Weal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Weal
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (594)
55.4% (551)
+3.7%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
64.3% (42)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (107)
16.7% (6)
+41.2%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +41.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weal shoots right. Ryan is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Ryan shoots right. Weal is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Ryan
Weal
Home
57.0% (398)
53.5% (269)
Away
59.5% (358)
57.3% (330)
By Period
Ryan
Weal
P1
56.2%
60.9%
P2
56.9%
56.3%
P3
61.1%
49.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
58.2%
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 01:49 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 16:20 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 09:18 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 2 | 10:28 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |