Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Ryan wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Weal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Weal 52.4% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Weal 55.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 87.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 70.5%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Ryan
Weal
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Ryan
Weal
Last 10: Ryan 6-4 Weal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ryan
Weal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
5
2
Ryan
Weal
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Weal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Weal
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
51.8% (867)
+4.8%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
59.7% (129)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
37.5% (8)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weal shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Ryan shoots right. Weal is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Ryan
Weal
Home
56.2% (2,559)
53.2% (455)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
52.3% (549)
By Period
Ryan
Weal
P1
55.1%
56.6%
P2
54.7%
50.7%
P3
56.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 08:13 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 01:49 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 16:20 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 09:18 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 2 | 10:28 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |