Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Brodziak 49.5% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 94.5%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 61.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 78.1%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Ryan
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Ryan
Brodziak
Last 5: Ryan 4-1 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Brodziak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Brodziak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Brodziak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (576)
49.8% (526)
+5.1%
Power Play
59.8% (112)
57.1% (7)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
47.5% (120)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Brodziak has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Ryan is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Ryan shoots right. Brodziak is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Ryan
Brodziak
Home
57.7% (355)
51.5% (324)
Away
52.8% (352)
47.4% (329)
By Period
Ryan
Brodziak
P1
57.9%
50.0%
P2
53.2%
45.9%
P3
54.8%
52.5%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 10:10 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |