Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Brodziak 49.7% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 86.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 60.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 81.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Ryan
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Ryan
Brodziak
Last 10: Ryan 5-5 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
0
Ryan
Brodziak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
5
Ryan
Brodziak
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
1
Ryan
Brodziak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
50.5% (6,432)
+6.1%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
52.8% (326)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
45.5% (1,344)
+2.3%
On even strength, Ryan has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Ryan shoots right. Brodziak is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,322).
Home / Away
Ryan
Brodziak
Home
56.2% (2,559)
50.4% (4,044)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
49.0% (4,089)
By Period
Ryan
Brodziak
P1
55.1%
49.2%
P2
54.7%
50.7%
P3
56.0%
49.5%
OT
58.3%
42.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 05:40 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 15:00 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 3 | 12:37 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 14:52 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 06:19 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 04:42 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 10:10 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |