Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.5% vs 56.1%). Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.9% vs Draisaitl 55.6% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 64.3%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 50.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 66.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Ryan
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Ryan
Draisaitl
Last 7: Ryan 2-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Ryan
Draisaitl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Ryan
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (816)
56.6% (956)
-0.1%
Power Play
55.2% (105)
53.5% (144)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (19)
55.1% (98)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Ryan shoots right. Draisaitl is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Ryan
Draisaitl
Home
56.7% (466)
56.1% (626)
Away
56.3% (474)
56.1% (572)
By Period
Ryan
Draisaitl
P1
55.4%
56.9%
P2
58.1%
53.7%
P3
55.8%
56.9%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.6%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 15:22 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 01:20 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 17:45 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 04:37 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 04:30 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |