Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Draisaitl 53.3% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 21-17 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 68.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 71.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 59.8%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Ryan
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
21
(38 meetings)
17
21
Ryan
Draisaitl
Last 10: Ryan 3-7 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
8
Ryan
Draisaitl
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
10
11
Ryan
Draisaitl
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
2
Ryan
Draisaitl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
52.9% (10,240)
+3.7%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
55.7% (2,827)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
51.2% (977)
-3.4%
On even strength, Ryan has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Home / Away
Ryan
Draisaitl
Home
56.2% (2,559)
54.6% (7,049)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
52.0% (6,995)
By Period
Ryan
Draisaitl
P1
55.1%
52.7%
P2
54.7%
53.6%
P3
56.0%
53.4%
OT
58.3%
57.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 18:41 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 17:34 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 03:15 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 16:04 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 19:24 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 11:23 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 06:04 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 05:37 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 01:43 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 14:33 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |