Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Andersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Andersson 44.8% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 79.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 86.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 87.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Ryan
Andersson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Ryan
Andersson
Last 8: Ryan 5-3 Andersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
1
Ryan
Andersson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Andersson
0
2
Ryan
Andersson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Andersson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Andersson
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
43.8% (388)
+12.8%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
44.4% (9)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
40.7% (27)
+7.1%
On even strength, Ryan has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Andersson shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Andersson is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Ryan
Andersson
Home
56.2% (2,559)
42.7% (239)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
44.9% (185)
By Period
Ryan
Andersson
P1
55.1%
43.5%
P2
54.7%
43.9%
P3
56.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
52.5%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Andersson
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2019 | 1 | 04:56 | Offensive | Lias Andersson |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 1 | 01:31 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 02:23 | Defensive | Lias Andersson |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Lias Andersson |