Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Cooley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Cooley 39.5% (+17.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 70.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 97.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 93.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 86.7%
86.7%
13.3%
Ryan
Cooley
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Ryan
Cooley
Last 6: Ryan 5-1 Cooley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Cooley
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Cooley
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
0
Ryan
Cooley
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Cooley
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
38.0% (634)
+22.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
44.7% (38)
+55.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
23.5% (17)
+22.7%
On power play, Ryan has a +55.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cooley shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Ryan shoots right. Cooley is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Ryan
Cooley
Home
56.7% (201)
37.7% (332)
Away
54.8% (208)
38.4% (357)
By Period
Ryan
Cooley
P1
56.7%
39.1%
P2
56.8%
37.8%
P3
53.7%
36.2%
Final 5 min
56.1%
33.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
38.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 11:57 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:52 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 06:31 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |