Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Sedlak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Sedlak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Sedlak 51.9% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 59.4%
Defensive zone
Sedlak 79.0%
Neutral zone
Sedlak 59.1%
Result
Lukas Sedlak favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Ryan
Sedlak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Ryan
Sedlak
Last 7: Ryan 2-5 Sedlak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sedlak
1
2
Ryan
Sedlak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sedlak
0
3
Ryan
Sedlak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Sedlak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Sedlak
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (576)
52.0% (415)
+2.9%
Power Play
59.8% (112)
100.0% (3)
-40.2%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
52.0% (25)
-9.9%
On power play, Sedlak has a +40.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sedlak shoots left. Ryan is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Ryan shoots right. Sedlak is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (146).
Home / Away
Ryan
Sedlak
Home
57.7% (355)
52.4% (229)
Away
52.8% (352)
52.3% (214)
By Period
Ryan
Sedlak
P1
57.9%
54.4%
P2
53.2%
47.2%
P3
54.8%
56.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Sedlak
44.0%▼
45.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Lukas Sedlak |